Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 150.967918 172.793515 197.165469 226.488092 260.927884 300.236178 348.700040
2025-11-09 121.381796 149.794852 184.398535 229.995381 289.016658 363.542415 465.892195
2025-11-16 102.960089 133.822647 173.747453 229.865017 307.805927 413.866894 571.957275
2025-11-23 89.996796 121.860601 165.107362 229.148723 323.386665 459.884317 678.028512
2025-11-30 81.064270 113.674136 159.799413 231.279302 341.969781 511.518421 800.253569
2025-12-07 71.210370 102.746044 148.887820 223.137800 343.142287 535.891919 882.607754
2025-12-14 64.496135 95.536880 142.400505 220.513894 351.964254 572.884892 991.901044
2025-12-21 60.088496 91.264148 139.764148 223.399300 369.790709 627.054819 1141.524008
2025-12-28 57.657266 89.760657 141.210014 232.996310 400.163248 707.626633 1357.077896
2026-01-04 54.700559 87.061610 140.328413 238.329915 423.422836 778.504658 1568.037616
2026-01-11 50.847103 82.480475 135.763382 236.453628 432.776627 823.698356 1733.796175
2026-01-18 48.607344 80.410518 135.275356 241.894427 456.863004 902.196402 1991.491666
2026-01-25 45.699340 77.228690 133.057098 244.931607 479.027910 985.948196 2297.348242
2026-02-01 43.116510 74.418202 131.298231 248.841856 504.208945 1082.795384 2669.132242
2026-02-08 40.309522 70.900534 127.798715 248.702040 520.529481 1162.682629 3021.700529
2026-02-15 37.735692 67.556035 124.245632 247.918097 535.197666 1241.667889 3398.201617
2026-02-22 35.765329 65.164795 122.287886 250.250334 557.500351 1344.808436 3884.027386
2026-03-01 32.848233 60.666468 115.637087 241.339836 551.091185 1371.024298 4134.433028
2026-03-08 30.800280 57.713178 111.864382 238.469013 559.329732 1439.357216 4553.084634
2026-03-15 29.482988 56.113803 110.755282 241.625969 583.668294 1559.345467 5204.757762
2026-03-22 28.882381 55.925333 112.626357 252.130065 629.560473 1755.193154 6232.960179
2026-03-29 27.931843 54.917116 112.597641 257.970323 663.749238 1924.075471 7237.251606
2026-04-05 26.459513 52.673383 109.593564 255.915600 675.023246 2021.597715 7983.875767